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Thursday, January 20, 2005

The Winds of War...GLOBAL WAR

America rethinks Iran and Syria adventure as Putin makes Russia and BRIC (Brazil, Russia, India, China) alliance ready for military confrontation

It is becoming clear that Russia and BRIC will not tolerate American adventure into Syria and Iran. Iranian elements in Iraq like Chalabi will not tolerate that either.

Neo-conservatives in America are eager to move into Syria and Iran to complete their “mission”. Every day that theme is reiterated in conservative American talk radio. The plan was to complete “Iraq” fast and then ask Iraqis to complain about insurgency support from Iran and Syria and then use that logic to enter those two nations.

But some serious problems have come up. Iraqi defense minister did come out and say that the Syrians and Iranians are providing support for insurgency and terrorism in Iraq. But he could not go too far with that. According to the Foreign Minister of Iraq, Hoshyar Zebari, Iraq's defense minister Hazim al-Shalan has no right to accuse Syria and Iran for sponsoring militant insurgency in Iraq. According to the minister, his office is the only official Iraqi channel to make such statement.

Ahmed Chalabi, leader of Iraqi interim council, accused Iraq's defense minister in stealing money and transferring the same to a bank in Lebanon. Chalabi himself was accused of similar fraud in Jordan. He is apparently upset about Defense Minsiter Hazim al-Shalan comments on Syria and Iran supporting insurgency in Iraq.

The Foreign Minister of Iraq Hoshyar Zebari says Iraqi President Ghazi al-Yawer and Interim Iraqi Prime Minister Iyad Allawi have major disagreements.
At the same time, Syrian leadership has gone to Russia asking for protection from American invasion.

Russians are defending Iran in pointing out that Iranians have no secret nuclear program for weapons. This was in response to reports that Washington does not rule out invading Iran to neutralize Weapons of Mass Destruction.

China and India have built special relationship with Iran because of Iran’s enormous supply of Natural Gas and Crude oil.

Russia is upset with America over what happened in Ukraine and on going fiasco in Georgia. American private money may have influenced the elections in Ukraine. The leaders of Ukraine and Georgia are ready to take shelter from NATO and EU.

Recently Putin made a world tour visiting China, India and Brazil. He tried to brief the leaderships of these BRIC alliance countries that Russia and BRIC will not put up with American aggression in Iran and Syria.

Putin also made it clear to these countries that UN has lost its backbone and EU nations may stand pat.

Interestingly, German chancellor Schroder had a very important meeting with Putin in recent weeks and came out with an interesting statement on Iran today. Iran is skeptical on American intensions and may not follow through the deal struck between Europeans and Iran regarding nuclear program of Iran. German chancellor Schroder told the Iranians not to delay the compliance in accordance with the agreement. Germany, France and Britain are informing Americans on what is happening though Bush Administration is not part of the accord.

It is becoming clear that Russia and BRIC will not tolerate American adventure into Syria and Iran. Iranian elements in Iraq like Chalabi will not tolerate that either.

Neo-conservatives in America are debating on their next move given the strong opposition from the world as such on their moving into Syria and Iran.

For now it seems nothing will happen. American Military infrastructure is tired somewhat and will recover nicely in a few months. That is the time the geopolitical game will restart again.

It will be in September-October of 2005 when the game will restart. Right now we are in a break session.

Balaji Reddy, Special Correspondent
January 19, 2005
India Times

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